Super Bowl 2025: Chiefs-Eagles picks, key stats, predictions

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    Super Bowl LIX kicks off at 6:30 p.m. ET on Sunday, with the Philadelphia Eagles going by way of the two-time reigning champion Kansas City Chiefs. This is a rematch of Super Bowl LVII, after the 2022 season, throughout which the Chiefs beat the Eagles 38-35.

    Kansas City is in search of to make historic previous by turning into the first NFL crew to win three straight Super Bowls. The ultimate time the Eagles acquired the Super Bowl was after the 2017 season in Super Bowl LII. The Chiefs entered the playoffs as a result of the AFC’s No. 1 seed, whereas the Eagles had been the NFC’s No. 2 seed.

    We have you ever ever lined with each half you’ll need to know for Chiefs-Eagles, along with crew previews, area ranking predictions, a breakdown of Super Bowl MVP candidates and sport picks. We moreover current suggestion from our sports activities actions betting specialists and in-depth statistics from ESPN Research. We take a look on the 2 quarterbacks, coaches, officiating, positional advantages and X parts. And scroll all the easiest way down to check out our preview of Kendrick Lamar’s halftime current.

    Let’s dive into this one-stop retailer cheat sheet, starting with a preview of the matchup.

    Jump to a chunk:
    What to know | Meet the teams | QBs
    Projecting the sector ranking | Biggest questions
    Keys to Chiefs win | Keys to Eagles win
    Picks | MVP watch | Stats to know
    Bold predictions | Injuries | Officiating
    Betting the game | Halftime | FAQs

    Previewing Chiefs vs. Eagles

    When: Sunday at 6:30 p.m. ET
    Where: Caesars Superdome, New Orleans
    Television: Fox
    Depth charts: Chiefs | Eagles

    If the Chiefs want their three-peat, they’ll ought to beat the simplest crew they’ve carried out in a Super Bowl throughout the Patrick Mahomes interval. The Eagles have misplaced three video video games all season, two of them after their receivers dropped passes that may have clinched victories. Since their Week 5 bye, they’ve gone 15-1, posted a plus-27 turnover margin and acquired their video video games by a imply of 13.8 components.

    This Eagles crew is more healthy than the one the Chiefs beat two years previously in Super Bowl LVII and better than each of the 49ers teams Kansas City topped in Super Bowls LIV and LVIII. Philadelphia is even scarier than the Tom Brady-led Buccaneers, who managed to current Mahomes his solely championship sport defeat in Super Bowl LV.

    I’d not say that’s the simplest Chiefs crew we’ve seen, nonetheless it could possibly be the wiliest. Rarely dominant nevertheless under no circumstances out of it, the Chiefs put collectively a set of spectacularly shut victories in 2024. Holding on to a victory in opposition to the Ravens in Week 1 by the scale of Isaiah Likely’s toenail portended what was to return all season. The Chiefs acquired video video games with fourth-down stops, space aims bouncing off uprights, kicks getting blocked and snaps being dropped. They found a strategy to sprinkle merely adequate magic mud into each victory. Their win over the Bills throughout the AFC Championship Game, a measure of revenge for Buffalo costing the Chiefs a possibility at an undefeated widespread season in November, was their fifteenth consecutive victory in video video games decided by seven components or fewer.

    Can the Eagles deny the Chiefs from making historic previous? A 2024 offseason for the ages has replenished Philadelphia’s roster, and it’s the upper crew — on paper. That begins with the participant who could possibly be the story of the season, a working once more Kansas City has to stop if it has any hope of worthwhile one different title: Saquon Barkley — Bill Barnwell, senior NFL creator

    Read further: Barnwell previews the Super Bowl (ESPN+)

    Meet the teams

    Coach: Andy Reid

    Reid brings a substantial amount of playoff and Super Bowl experience. In 26 seasons — 12 with the Chiefs — Reid is 28-16 throughout the postseason and 3-2 throughout the Super Bowl. He was a finalist for the 2024 AP Coach of the Year award, an honor not usually given to the chief of a two-time defending Super Bowl championship crew. The 2024 Chiefs had been hit laborious by accidents, had trouble at cases defending Mahomes and had been inconsistent for lots of the season on safety. But thanks partially to Reid, they’re nonetheless one win away from worthwhile a third consecutive championship.

    How did they get proper right here?

    Getting to 17-2 (along with two playoff victories) took plenty of work. Kansas City acquired 11 regular-season video video games plus the AFC Championship Game in opposition to the Bills by one ranking and at cases was aided by a part of luck. But the Chiefs moreover confirmed a knack for making the correct play on the correct time. A blocked space objective on the final word play to guard a two-point win in opposition to the Broncos in Week 10 was one thing nevertheless luck. — Adam Teicher, Chiefs reporter

    Coach: Nick Sirianni

    Sirianni is the first coach throughout the Super Bowl interval to make the playoffs in each of his first 4 seasons whereas reaching the Super Bowl a variety of cases. He guided the Eagles to the title sport in opposition to the Chiefs throughout the 2023 season, a 38-35 Eagles loss. With a regular-season file of 48-20, Sirianni has the third-highest worthwhile share (.706) by a head coach throughout the trendy interval (minimal 50 video video games), trailing solely John Madden and George Allen.

    How did they get proper right here?

    The Eagles obtained off to a shaky 2-2 start, testing the nerves of the fan base following a 1-6 collapse down the stretch ultimate season. They grew to change into further of a Saquon Barkley-focused offense in the middle of the Week 5 bye, and that propelled them to a 10-game worthwhile streak and a 14-3 regular-season file. Led by the NFL’s prime dashing sport and safety, Philadelphia earned the No. 2 seed throughout the NFC and acquired three straight postseason dwelling video video games to punch its ticket to the Super Bowl, along with a 55-23 thumping of the Commanders throughout the NFC title sport. — Tim McManus, Eagles reporter

    Read further: Reid says he’ll return as Chiefs coach in 2025 … Sirianni is a players’ coach, it doesn’t matter what you take into account him

    QB breakdown

    Mahomes is coming off a down 12 months — for him — as he ranked eighth with a 68 QBR throughout the widespread season. It wasn’t all on him, though, as a result of the Chiefs struggled to settle their take care of state of affairs and his playmakers had been lacking, significantly early throughout the season. But you’d nonetheless rely on further from the simplest quarterback on the planet having fun with for coach Reid (and with an elite inside offensive line). Of course, postseason Mahomes is simply completely totally different. His 79 QBR ranks third throughout the playoffs, and his career postseason QBR is roughly 10 components larger than throughout the widespread season.

    Strength: Decision-making. Despite Mahomes ranking fifth with a 69 QBR this season (postseason included), he ranks first on third down (90). Despite throwing to the sticks solely 28% of the time on early downs (second lowest), his amount jumps to 60% (eleventh most) on third down, demonstrating how Mahomes modifications his menace profile when the state of affairs warrants it. And when Mahomes decides to scramble, he’s hyperefficient, averaging 0.79 EPA per play, third highest and highest amongst any quarterback with in any case a 2% scramble charge.

    Lastly, the Chiefs ranked second in widespread separation on the time of ball arrival (3.9), per NFL Next Gen Stats. That could sound like a big receiver statistic, nonetheless it could want further to do with the scheme and quarterback; separation on this context is simply measured on targets, and that’s partially a reflection of Mahomes’ talent to hunt out and throw to an open participant.

    Weakness: Accuracy. It’s humorous that the consensus best quarterback of this expertise is mediocre with reference to accuracy, nonetheless it has been true for years. Mahomes recorded a minus-2 completion share over expectation this season, per NFL Next Gen Stats. His 14% off-target charge was twelfth best, nevertheless that bought right here whereas averaging merely 6.2 air yards per objective (third lowest) — shorter passes are loads a lot much less vulnerable to be off-target. Mahomes has had a detrimental completion share over expectation in every season since 2019. — Seth Walder, analytics creator

    Philadelphia has one of many very important run-heavy offenses throughout the league, with a minus-11% go charge over expectation (fourth lowest), per NFL Next Gen Stats. That is, to some extent, a reflection and knock in opposition to Hurts, who has moreover had the benefit of having fun with in very nice circumstances. He performs behind a wonderful offensive line and with distinctive capacity players (though the specter of his legs helps, too). Hurts’ 65 QBR ranks tenth — scrambles and designed runs are basically probably the most surroundings pleasant parts of his sport. But on non-scramble dropbacks, Hurts nonetheless ranked eleventh in QBR (61), and he moreover led the league in completion share over expectation (plus-7, by way of Next Gen Stats).

    Strength: Runs — every designed (along with the tush push) and scrambles. The Eagles working the tush push with such success is a credit score rating to Hurts and the offensive line, and its influence shouldn’t be minimized. Hurts ranks second amongst all quarterbacks in full EPA (58) generated on runs and scrambles — one factor that was true even sooner than the postseason. And it’s not all fourth-and-1 conversions. Looking at performs with 2 yards or further to go, the Eagles’ EPA on Hurts’ runs (37) ranks third best behind the Commanders’ Jayden Daniels and the Bills’ Josh Allen.

    Hurts could be less complicated on runs up the middle than going east and west; he averaged 0.29 EPA per play on runs and scrambles with in any case 2 yards to go open air the tackles, nevertheless 0.42 EPA per play inside.

    Weakness: Sack avoidance. The Eagles’ offensive line deservedly receives a great deal of reward. It ranked sixth in go block win charge (67.4%) and has arguably the NFL’s best take care of in Lane Johnson. And however, Hurts has taken sacks on 9.4% of his dropbacks, which is ahead of solely the Titans’ Will Levis and the Bears’ Caleb Williams amongst QBR-qualifying quarterbacks. The outcomes of that state of affairs have been profound; the Eagles’ offense has recorded 1.1 anticipated components added per drive that doesn’t embody a sack, nevertheless that amount drops to minus-1.0 when there’s in any case one sack. — Walder

    Read further: Can Hurts current a Super Bowl win to quiet the doubters? … Every strategy to guess Mahomes … Every strategy to guess on Hurts


    Projecting the passing area ranking

    In preparation for the Super Bowl, I bought right here up with predicted stat traces for every participant involved, along with passing projections for the two QBs. When Mahomes is conscious of what he’s getting on any given play, he hardly misses the inform or the throw. On quick throws this season, Mahomes had successful charge of 60.9%. But in opposition to quick throws, the Eagles allowed solely 5.5 yards per attempt — best throughout the NFL. Something has obtained to current. Things could get powerful throughout the crimson zone, the place swiftly there is no beneath home. But take into account, Reid cooked the Eagles throughout the crimson zone two Super Bowls previously with back-and-forth motions.

    Hurts, within the meantime, has been larger in opposition to the blitz, his largest criticism exiting 2023, and has often grow to be further right as a thrower. But the most important enchancment he made this season was not turning the ball over. He could actually ought to throw the Eagles once more into this sport, though. I rely on Chiefs D-coordinator Steve Spagnuolo to present a ton of untamed appears to be to take away quick-game selections and encourage Hurts, one in all many league leaders in time to throw (3.13 seconds), to hold onto the soccer. The longer the down, the additional in all probability it’s Hurts takes a nasty sack. — Ben Solak, NFL analyst

    Read further: Solak duties the whole Super Bowl area ranking (ESPN+)

    Biggest questions

    Can the Chiefs defend the Eagles’ tush push?

    Judging solely by how they defended the Bills’ mannequin of the play throughout the AFC Championship Game, the Chiefs have objective to think about they’ll keep up successfully. Josh Allen and Buffalo tried it six cases in opposition to Kansas City nevertheless remodeled merely twice. One stop bought right here on fourth down on the Kansas City 41-yard line throughout the fourth quarter, when the Chiefs trailed by a level. They used the favorable space place to achieve the go-ahead touchdown.

    “The [defensive] line has to be dominant,” defensive take care of Chris Jones talked about on how the Chiefs defended the play. “Your two [nose guards] and your two ends have to be physical on the inside.”

    Kansas City hasn’t fared as successfully in defending Hurts on the tush push. He used it to achieve two touchdowns in opposition to the Chiefs in Super Bowl LVII. Hurts moreover used it to achieve the worthwhile touchdown in opposition to Kansas City throughout the fourth quarter of a Week 11 regular-season contest in 2023. — Teicher

    Read further: Chiefs’ best matchup questions

    What do the Eagles need from receivers A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith to complement the run sport?

    They’ll need the type of passing effectivity they obtained throughout the NFC Championship Game when Hurts went 20-of-28 for 246 yards, a touchdown and no interceptions. It marked merely the second time since mid-November that Hurts threw for 200-plus yards.

    Questions continued regarding the aerial assault for lots of the season. The manufacturing didn’t match the type of expectations that embody players like Brown, Smith, Hurts and tight end Dallas Goedert on the offense. But a variety of it was by design, as a result of the instructing staff — armed with a dominant safety and ground sport — leaned conservative with the go to take care of turnovers at a minimal. That technique has labored pretty successfully: The Eagles have 10 takeaways to zero giveaways throughout the playoffs.

    Hurts quipped after the NFC title sport that Sirianni “let me out of my straitjacket a little bit,” allowing him to air it out to Brown and Smith larger than widespread. Sirianni ought to enter this matchup assured about Hurts, who had in all probability the best performances of his career in Super Bowl LVII (374 full yards, 4 touchdowns). Smith (7 catches, 100 yards) and Brown (6 catches, 96 yards, TD) had been an infinite part of that. They’ll in all probability be often called on as soon as extra provided that the Chiefs are optimistic to be focused on slowing down Barkley. — McManus

    Read further: Eagles’ best matchup questions

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    2:00

    Stephen A.: Only a Super Bowl win will change Jalen Hurts’ narrative

    Stephen A. Smith says Jalen Hurts will solely be succesful to shake his “game manager” tag if he wins the Super Bowl.

    Keys to a Chiefs win

    Positional profit: Quarterback

    Mahomes’ success in essential moments of a sport, plus his talent to create on scrambles, presents the Chiefs a definitive profit at quarterback. His league-best QBR on third down throughout the widespread season (90) jumped to 98 throughout the playoffs. Mahomes moreover remodeled 22 first downs as a runner on scramble makes an try throughout the widespread season, with 5 further throughout the playoffs. With his elite instincts to win on money downs, he can lengthen drives alongside along with his legs. The Eagles’ go rush will certainly heat up the pocket and drive him to maneuver. — Matt Bowen, NFL analyst

    Chiefs’ X concern: Jaylen Watson, CB

    After having fun with further of a depth operate in 2023, Watson was penciled in as a starter to modify the departed L’Jarius Sneed in 2024. And for the first few video video games, Watson was implausible. Through Week 7, his safety DVOA of minus-51.5% was fifth throughout the league amongst starting cornerbacks. But he fractured an ankle in Week 7 and was misplaced for the widespread season.

    There’s no question the Chiefs’ safety nosedived after Watson obtained injury. In Weeks 1 through 7, the Chiefs ranked second in defensive DVOA. In the following six weeks, Kansas City ranked twenty eighth in defensive DVOA. The Chiefs reversed points throughout the closing few weeks of the season, with sturdy defensive performances in Weeks 14 through 17 sooner than they sat starters in Week 18.

    Watson has returned to the lineup for the postseason, and he’s once more to shutting down opposing receivers. In the first two playoff video video games, FTN Data charting listed Watson because the precept defender in safety on 5 passes. The Texans and Bills weren’t throwing at him. The solely achieved passes he allowed had been an 8-yard completion to Texans’ Xavier Hutchinson late throughout the fourth quarter and a completion for no obtain to Bills’ Ty Johnson in zone safety. Watson is commonly lined up as a result of the left cornerback, which suggests he’ll be defending whoever is the outermost Eagles receiver on the correct aspect. Aaron Schatz, NFL analyst

    Rookie to take a look at: Xavier Worthy, WR

    Worthy has develop right into a go-to objective for the Chiefs’ offense. The first-round determine accomplished the widespread season with 59 catches for 638 receiving yards and 6 touchdown receptions. He is likely to be up in opposition to the Eagles’ secondary, in all probability the best throughout the NFL, so coach Reid and Mahomes ought to decide the way in which to get Worthy involved throughout the passing sport. But alongside along with his tempo and dynamic abilities, rely on to see many targets going his means throughout the Super Bowl. — Jordan Reid, NFL draft analyst


    Keys to an Eagles win

    Positional profit: Secondary

    Since Week 6, when rookie slot nook Cooper DeJean was inserted into the start lineup, the Eagles have allowed a league-low 5.2 yards per attempt to 171.9 passing yards per sport. On the perimeter, corners Quinyon Mitchell and Darius Slay Jr. are sticky in safety, with high-end closing tempo. And safeties C.J. Gardner-Johnson and Reed Blankenship can play top-down on the ball, which is a seamless match for coordinator Vic Fangio’s split-field schemes. This defensive unit has the personnel and the playcaller to create matchup advantages in opposition to the Chiefs’ intensive receivers and tight ends. — Bowen

    Eagles’ X concern: Nolan Smith Jr., LB

    After a quiet rookie season in 2023 (one sack, 18 tackles and no begins), Smith has been a far more very important part of the Eagles’ go rush this season. He entered the start lineup for good in Week 9 and had 6.5 sacks throughout the widespread season. Smith has been on fireplace throughout the playoffs, with 4 sacks whereas having fun with over 80% of the Eagles’ defensive snaps over the earlier three video video games. His go rush win charge of 16.6% would have ranked seventeenth if he had adequate snaps to qualify for ESPN’s rankings.

    Smith developed loads this season that he mainly made big-money free agent Bryce Huff disappear. Huff, who signed a three-year, $51.1 million deal throughout the offseason, misplaced his starting job to Smith at midseason and has carried out solely 13 full defensive snaps throughout the playoffs.

    Smith has 28 full go pressures (along with the playoffs), which ranks third on the Eagles behind the better-known Jalen Carter (34) and Josh Sweat (36). As the left open air linebacker, Smith will spend a variety of the Super Bowl lined up in opposition to correct take care of Jawaan Taylor, who has given up basically probably the most first pressures on the Chiefs (72, along with the playoffs). — Schatz

    Rookie to take a look at: Quinyon Mitchell, CB

    The Eagles’ safety is filled with impression rookies just like Mitchell, DeJean and Jalyx Hunt, who’ve helped data the crew once more to the Super Bowl. But none has been further very important than Mitchell. The first-rounder has been superior at cornerback, significantly throughout the postseason, the place he has two interceptions. Facing a Chiefs passing assault that is likely to be trying to find strategies to get the ball into the palms of Worthy, Mitchell’s man safety talent and playmaking skills ought to come back up large for Philadelphia. The Eagles’ defensive place is a matchup profit, and in the event that they’ll get Mahomes transferring off his spot and making late throws, Mitchell is likely to be in line to be taught from it. — Matt Miller, NFL draft analyst

    ESPN’s FPI has the Eagles worthwhile 56.1% of the simulations — they usually’re favored to win by a imply of two.2 components.

    This matchup is a showdown between two top-10 teams in FPI: the No. 5 Eagles (6.0) and the No. 6 Chiefs (3.9). The Eagles are fifth on offense and the Chiefs rank seventh. On safety, Philadelphia ranks first and Kansas City is thirteenth. The Chiefs had been No. 2 in FPI throughout the preseason, whereas the Eagles had been No. 5.

    In the preseason, the Chiefs had the second-best chance to make the Super Bowl (18.9%) and the Eagles had the third-best odds (16.4%). Kansas City was given a 9.4% chance to win it, whereas Philadelphia was at 9.6%.

    Who wins the game?

    We requested 67 specialists to weigh in on who will win. The Chiefs had been picked by 41 of them (61.2%), whereas the Eagles claimed 26 votes (38.8%). The commonest ranking predictions had been 27-24 (picked by 10 of our specialists), 27-23 (5) and 31-28 (5).

    Read further: ESPN staff predictions

    Of the 67 specialists who weighed in, 37 (55.2%) picked Mahomes to win Super Bowl MVP. Mahomes (+105), Barkley (+275) and Hurts (+360) are the ESPN BET betting favorites. We requested only a few specialists to make clear their MVP prediction.

    Elizabeth Merrill, senior creator: Barkley. On Sunday, he turns 28, the 12 months NFL working backs often begin their declines, nevertheless Barkley has under no circumstances appeared larger. He has been unstoppable throughout the postseason.

    Jason Reid, Andscape senior creator: Mahomes. The NFL’s best participant wishes to grow to be the very best of all time by worthwhile his fourth award.

    Jeremy Fowler, nationwide NFL reporter: Barkley. He is a near-unstoppable-force, averaging larger than 150 dashing yards per sport over his earlier 5 video video games. If the Eagles win, he’ll be the catalyst.

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    1:49

    Is Saquon Barkley the most important threat to a Chiefs three-peat?

    Louis Riddick and Dan Orlovsky factor how the Chiefs’ safety stopping Saquon Barkley is the essential factor to a Super Bowl victory.

    Lindsey Thiry, nationwide NFL reporter: Mahomes has led the Chiefs to some Super Bowl titles and was named the MVP in each. He’s a confirmed champion who repeatedly has lifted his crew to many inconceivable victories. It is unfathomable to predict anyone else nevertheless the star quarterback as a result of the Most Valuable Player.

    Seth Walder, analytics creator: Hurts. Quarterbacks — certain, I take into account even these on the equivalent crew as Barkley — have such an edge on this market. If the Eagles do definitely win, it’s practically certain Hurts might have made some large performs. And as long as the receiving manufacturing is unfold out all through a number of players, the award will default once more to him.

    Read More: Experts predict Chiefs-Eagles ranking, MVP … Betting buzz: An O-lineman for MVP?

    Stats to know

    Team stats: Chiefs | Eagles

    Chiefs

    • Mahomes has 4 straight playoff victories when trailing at the start of the fourth quarter, which is the longest streak by a quarterback all time. It started in opposition to the Eagles in Super Bowl LVII.

    • Including the playoffs, Chris Jones ranks third in go rush win charge (15.3%) amongst inside defenders no matter ranking fifth in double-team charge (70%).

    • This is likely to be Reid’s forty fifth playoff sport as a head coach (with the Chiefs and Eagles), passing Bill Belichick for basically probably the most all time. He is the first head coach to face his former crew twice throughout the Super Bowl.

    • The Chiefs have acquired 9 straight postseason video video games courting to the 2022 postseason, which is tied for the second-longest streak in NFL postseason historic previous. The Patriots acquired 10 straight from 2001 to 2005.

    • Kansas City is sporting white jerseys for the second time in its three straight Super Bowl appearances. Dating to Super Bowl XXXIX throughout the 2004 season, the crew sporting white jerseys has acquired 16 of the earlier 20 Super Bowls. The Chiefs wore crimson jerseys of their Super Bowl LIV and LVIII wins.


    Eagles

    • Hurts already has basically probably the most dashing touchdowns by a quarterback throughout the postseason (9). Another ranking will make him the ninth participant all time to achieve 10. Only two others have carried out that throughout the twenty first century — Marshawn Lynch (12) and LeGarrette Blount (11).

    • The Eagles need 27 components for basically probably the most in a single postseason in NFL historic previous. The file was set by the 1994 49ers (131), who achieved the mark in a single a lot much less sport.

    • There have been 36 players to see in any case 75 targets in safety this season, along with the playoffs. DeJean and Mitchell rank second and third, respectively, in yards per objective allowed because the closest defender in safety, trailing the Texans’ Derek Stingley Jr., per NFL Next Gen Stats.

    • Barkley desires 30 yards to surpass Terrell Davis’ 1998 file for basically probably the most dashing yards in a single season (2,476), along with the playoffs. Since Steve Spagnuolo grew to change into the Chiefs’ defensive coordinator in 2019, Kansas City has not allowed any participant to rush for 100 yards in opposition to them throughout the playoffs.

    • The Eagles accomplished the widespread season with further rush makes an try (621) than go makes an try (448). Out of the first 40 Super Bowl champions, 33 had further rushes than go makes an try of their Super Bowl worthwhile seasons (83%). Since 2006, the 2013 Seahawks are the one crew to do that.

    Read further: Super Bowl LIX by the numbers: Key stats for Chiefs-Eagles … Super Bowl historic previous: Facts, stats, and data to know

    Bold predictions

    Worthy will finish as the very best intensive receiver in receiving yards. The rookie’s tempo and suppleness are exactly what Reid might want to leverage in opposition to the Eagles, significantly when he’s up in opposition to Mitchell. The Eagles may wrestle to present consideration to shutting down one receiving playmaker for the Chiefs. Bracketing Travis Kelce or JuJu Smith-Schuster opens the door for Worthy to capitalize on one-on-one matchups. — Eric Moody, NFL analyst

    Hollywood Brown will ranking the game-winning TD. Brown might have an infinite day, gathering in any case 125 receiving yards. He will clinch Kansas City’s three-peat by discovering the highest zone with seconds to go. — Mike Tannenbaum, NFL analyst

    The Eagles will win convincingly. Even after we exclude Week 18 (every teams rested players), the Eagles keep a solid-to-sizable edge in offensive, defensive and basic EPA. The 2024 Chiefs are infamous for his or her knack of discovering strategies to sneak by with wins, nevertheless the Eagles have had concerning the equivalent success throughout the win column after a sluggish start (every are 15-1 of their earlier 16 video video games, excluding Week 18) and have carried out so in a further convincing fashion. — Mike Clay, NFL analyst

    Barkley will rush for 125-plus yards and earn MVP honors throughout the course of. Of the 19 video video games Barkley has carried out this season, he has rushed for over 100 yards in 14 of them, topping 200 yards twice. Expect the Eagles to placed on down a powerful Chiefs safety and — as was the case most steadily this season — the vast majority of Barkley’s manufacturing will come throughout the second half. — Stephania Bell, NFL analyst

    The deciding play will come from the foot of 1 crew’s kicker. Eagles kicker Jake Elliott has had a troublesome widespread season, missing eight full space aims — that’s as many as he missed over the prior three seasons combined. But he, like Chiefs kicker Harrison Butker, has made no shortage of big-time kicks for Philadelphia in his career. Somehow, a means, this sport seems like it’ll seemingly be a great one and a space objective is likely to be the excellence. — Field Yates, NFL analyst

    Who is in, and who’s out?

    Injury research: Chiefs | Eagles

    Wide receiver Skyy Moore is listed as unsure with an abdomen injury, nevertheless Kansas City must have its determine of the rest of its players for the Super Bowl. The Chiefs took good thing about the three weeks between clinching the AFC’s prime playoff seed in Week 17 and having fun with their preliminary postseason sport throughout the divisional spherical to current injured players like Mahomes (ankle), Jones (calf) and Isiah Pacheco (fibula) an extended break. Then the crew was fortunate to not bear an enormous injury in each of its playoff video video games. Moore hasn’t carried out a single snap since October. — Teicher

    Center Cam Jurgens (once more) and left guard Landon Dickerson (knee) missed parts of the NFC title sport attributable to accidents. But Jurgens and Dickerson have been full members at observe this week and every have spoken optimistically about having fun with. DeVonta Smith has been restricted this week with a hamstring injury nevertheless intends to play. Veteran defensive end Brandon Graham, who bought right here up with the game-defining strip sack of Tom Brady in Super Bowl LII, has been working once more from a torn left triceps and is hopeful to go properly with up. There is a chance the Eagles might have all of their genuine starters accessible in addition to linebacker Nakobe Dean, who tore the patellar tendon in his left knee in the middle of the wild-card sport in opposition to the Packers. — McManus

    What to know regarding the officiating

    Ron Torbert is one amongst three referees the NFL has trusted to work the Super Bowl on this decade. He joins Bill Vinovich and Carl Cheffers to each acquire two Super Bowl assignments since 2020. In his first look (Super Bowl LVI), Torbert’s crew took a once more seat for lots of the game, declining to throw a flag for a possible offensive go interference or face masks identify on Bengals receiver Tee Higgins, and totaling solely 4 flags through the first 58 minutes of the game. The Rams’ worthwhile possession, nonetheless, featured 4 further flags, along with two in opposition to Bengals go defenders throughout the crimson zone.

    In 2024, Torbert’s regular-season crew threw the third-most flags throughout the NFL (17.1). His divisional spherical crew threw 12 flags, six apiece in opposition to the Commanders and Lions, nevertheless none for each roughing the passer or offensive holding. — Kevin Seifert, Vikings reporter

    Read further: NFL names Torbert referee for Super Bowl LIX … NFLRA says theories that officers favor Chiefs ‘insulting’ … Goodell shuts down notion NFL officers eager on Chiefs … Inexperience of Super Bowl officers is ‘big departure’

    How to guess Super Bowl LIX

    Current line from ESPN BET Sportsbook: Chiefs -1, O/U 48.5

    Since 2021, underdogs are 4-0 in opposition to the unfold and 3-1 outright throughout the Super Bowl. Underdogs are 22-36 outright and 29-27-2 ATS throughout the Super Bowl all time. The Chiefs are 4-2 outright and ATS throughout the Super Bowl, worthwhile and defending in each of the earlier two seasons.

    Mahomes is 3-1 outright and ATS throughout the Super Bowl. All of Mahomes’ Super Bowls have featured traces of three components or a lot much less. The components full hit the over in every of the Chiefs’ earlier two Super Bowl appearances. The full for the pending Chiefs-Eagles matchup opened at 49.5 at ESPN BET.

    Read further: Updated odds and tendencies for Chiefs-Eagles … Americans anticipated to guess $1.39B legally on Super Bowl … Betting for freshmen … Your data to creating the simplest picks on Sunday (ESPN+) … A Swiftie’s data to Taylor-themed Super Bowl prop bets … Mike Clay’s playbook (ESPN+)

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    2:04

    What to know sooner than betting on Super Bowl LIX

    Check out what you need to know sooner than Sunday’s large sport with this ESPN BET primer on Super Bowl LIX.

    Who is having fun with the halftime current?

    Kendrick Lamar will perform on the halftime current. He is a 22-time Grammy winner, and in 2018, he grew to change into the first non-classical, non-jazz musician to win a Pulitzer Prize for his album “DAMN.”

    Lamar’s ultimate album, “GNX,” was launched in November. He garnered loads consideration in 2024 alongside along with his diss monitor “Not Like Us,” which was geared towards fellow hip-hop star Drake. At the 67th Grammy Awards, “Not Like Us” acquired 5 awards: Song of the Year, Record of the Year, Best Rap Song, Best Music Video and Best Rap Performance. Five-time Grammy winner SZA is likely to be a specific customer in Lamar’s effectivity.

    Read further: Lamar previews his upcoming halftime current … Most searched Super Bowl halftime displays … Who has carried out at Super Bowl halftime current? … SZA to hitch all through Super Bowl halftime effectivity

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